Unemployment benefits are back in the news: Senator Jim Bunning held up a $10 billion bill in the Senate because he felt it didn’t hold to the pay-as-you-go laws passed earlier this year (the law apparently doesn’t apply because of a technicality; the subjects of the bill were said to be ‘emergency provisions’). Unluckily for the senator, the provisions of the bill happened to concern the extension of unemployment benefits and the implementation of the so-called ‘Doctor Fix’ (preventing the pay cuts to doctors from Medicare). Even stranger to many politicians was the defense from Minority Whip Jon Kyl from Arizona stating that “… if anything, continuing to pay people unemployment compensation is a disincentive for them to seek new work.” Unemployment benefits preventing the unemployed from seeking work? Blasphemy!
Every once and a while I like to check in on the market’s inflation predictions. This is for my own personal curiosity, and possibly to entertain you, dear reader. You’ll be interested to know that inflation expectations have tempered somewhat over the last few weeks; it all goes to show that throughout all of the howling on raising debt ceilings and mudslinging in politics, the market still believes in the general stability of the United States dollar. My method is the classic “subtract real treasury yields from the yield curve rates”. All information is available at the U.S. Treasury’s web site.
For whatever reason, my articles recently keep coming back to charitable giving and volunteering. Here I am again with another post on the BLS’s recent release of volunteering statistics. Reader Patrick of Cash Money Life wondered if the reason that married parents volunteered in such high numbers was because many have children who open up volunteer activities. On the surface, this is a very good theory; younger kids play baseball, soccer and other sports, become Boy and Girl Scouts, and generally do things which occasionally ask people to volunteer to help (like go to school!). Let’s see if we can tease out the effect this has on overall volunteering rates!
One of the nice things about the Bureau of Labor Statistics site is the centralized location of employment and labor trends data which inspires interesting articles. Count today as one of those days; the BLS today released figures on the rates of volunteerism in the United States. In the midst of a recession, volunteer rates increased in the United States from September 2008 to September 2009. In fact, the percentage rate of volunteering by citizens in the United States is now .1% higher than it was in September 2006, after a falloff from that point in 2007.
A popular topic in the blogosphere, given new life after comments by Nobel prize winning economist Paul Krugman, is the relative success of the United States vs. the states that make up the European Union. The European Union is a loose confederation of 27 countries in Europe, ranging from Spain to Estonia. Krugman goes so far to suggest that “[y]ou should always bear in mind that when the question is which to believe — official economic statistics or your own lying eyes — the eyes have it.”
What would you say if someone offered you money to report your tax-evading friends? If you are staring at the screen incredulously, allow me to introduce you to Uncle Sam, who wants to make it worth your while to report on your loose-moraled tax cheat friends (and acquaintances!). If you know someone who is particularly dastardly, you could even make bank- the IRS will reward you 15% of the underpaid amount, up to a whopping $10 million!
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Inspired by Ironman’s Political Calculations post on Many Eyes and a visualization on that site, I decided to try to visualize the 2010 Senate election in Massachusetts. Using the tools at the site and data from the Boston Globe, I present four visualizations (by town): the voter turnout decrease in 2010 from the 2008 Presidential elections, the Republican margin of victory by town in 2008 and 2010, and the Republican vote swing from 2008 to 2010.
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The results are counted, and it’s an upset in Massachusetts. Republican Scott Brown because the first Republican elected in a Massachusetts Senate seat since 1972. He defeated the state Attorney General, Democratic candidate Martha Coakley, 52% to 47% (the remaining 1% went to Independent candidate Joseph Kennedy). A whopping 2,249,026 votes were cast out of a registered voter base of 4,220,488 for a very high (53.3%) special election turnout in the light snow.
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An interesting byproduct of the drive for male-female income equality in the workplace: the increase in the proportion of married couples in which a female earns more than the man. Not only are females earning more, in many cases, but they also are better educated than their male counterparts. The Pew Research Center gives us this interesting report on the new dynamics of married couples.
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We’re a week closer to a potential upset in the special Massachusetts senate race (scheduled for voting tomorrow). The last 4 polling companies that have weighed in (according to Real Clear Politics data) come in at +10, +5, +10 and +3 Brown, and were all conducted since 1/14. These polls generally estimate a larger than normal turnout for a special election; only two candidates are on the ballot and there aren’t any initiatives to vote on. They also suggest slightly positive ratings for President Obama among likely voters, although potentially under 50 percent.
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Déjà vu is a phrase borrowed from France to describe the odd feeling that an experience happened before. Often attributed to a dream, déjà vu is an odd experience leaving one with an odd, creepy feeling. Sadly, budget woes in California can’t be attributed to the feeling; they were supposedly patched up as recently as August. Here we go again! In 2011, California is facing a $14.4 billion budget gap.
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The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is a federal company created to insure commercial banks in the Glass-Steagall Act of 1933. Member banks pay a percentage of their deposits into the fund in exchange for the backing of the “full faith and credit” of the United States Government. Seemingly, this means that any bank failures which drive the fund to undercapitalization would trigger the backing of the United States general fund. It also means that when the trust fund is low, as it is now, the FDIC should make moves to ensure the banks it serves don’t ‘bankrupt’ the trust! In that vein, new FDIC rules which started January 1st limit the amount of interest ‘problem’ banks can charge to 75 basic points above the national average rate (weighted by bank capitalization).
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One of the more interesting risks you’ll face in investing in stocks (or bonds, or any security of a single company for that matter) is headline risk. Headline risk, as you may know, is the effect that news can have on a company (or sector, etc.). Often times, negative news which is only loosely related to a company can hurt it negatively. Of recent note: Tiger Woods’s “transgressions” on the companies that pay him to sponsor their products.
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From the twilight zone department: various polls put Scott Brown, Republican challenger for the special election for Ted Kennedy’s former Senate seat in Massachusetts, within striking distance of the Democratic favorite, Martha Coakley. Public Policy Polling yesterday released a poll suggesting a statistical dead heat in the race, while Rasmussen released poll results on January 4th showing Coakley with a 50% – 41% edge. The Boston Globe, however, counters with a poll showing likely voters leaning 53% to 36% towards Coakley – more in line with historical results in Massachusetts.
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“Don’t Quit Your Day Job” is a resource for people who wish to discuss personal finance, economics, and investing with other like minded individuals. It isn’t required that you work in the industry; just that you have an active interest in passing on your knowledge or learning from others. Disclaimer: Nothing on this site should be construed as investment advice. Do your own due diligence. None of the writers on this site is qualified to give you advice on your situation. Your situation is unique; see a financial adviser. Copyright 2009. InfoPortfolio, San Jose, CA.
