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May 8, 2013: The Actual All-Time Closing High in the S&P 500

Posted By PK    Last updated May 8th, 2013 4 Comments
inflation_adjusted_sp500_tr_may

Today was the all time high closing price for the dividend reinvested, inflation adjusted S&P 500. I know that much of the financial world has been rambling about the continual new highs in the stock market.  You haven’t been, though… you read my post earlier this year (or read my Tweet this morning) where I [...]

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: closing high, dividends, inflation, S&P 500, total returns

When Was the All Time High in the S&P 500?

Posted By PK    Last updated May 10th, 2013 8 Comments
S&P 500 Total Returns, Inflation adjusted through March 28, 2013

Editor: On May 8, 2013 there was a new dividend adjusted closing high in the S&P 500. Retained for posterity: On March 28, 2013 the S&P 500 Nominal Closing price ‘broke’ the record, so I updated the article.  Sorry, folks – based on my daily CPI adjusted total return data, we’re still 3.9% off the [...]

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: investment returns, S&P 500, total return

Is Dave Ramsey’s Investment Advice Misguided?

Posted By PK    Last updated March 26th, 2013 39 Comments
40 year trailing S&P 500 returns. Real and nominal.

Editor: We’ve since put our S&P 500 trailing returns calculations into a tool you can use. Dave Ramsey is a controversial figure in the Finance realm, at least in blogs (and blog comments), discussion boards, and other mediums where personal financial mathematics are discussed.  However, Ramsey’s controversy doesn’t generally come about from his investment advice [...]

Filed Under: Featured, Personal Finance Tagged With: dave ramsey, inflation, nominal returns, real returns, Retirement, S&P 500

What is Options Time Decay?

Posted By PK    Last updated January 18th, 2013 2 Comments
time_decay_sp

You may have heard of ‘theta’ or ‘time-value’ decay, but in this article we’re going to play it close to the vest with an illustrated example.  I recently showed you the results of a “failed” model based on implied prices for an S&P 500 ETF, SPY.  We’re going to dedicate a few more precious time [...]

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: change in price, delta, options, S&P 500, theta, valuation

Beware Those Bearing Market Predictions…

Posted By PK    Last updated January 10th, 2013 2 Comments

We try to wear our brains on our sleeves (I should trademark that) when it comes to some of the innovations we’ve rolled out on the site.  If you check out our Calculators and Visualizations page, we’ve got everything from historic S&P returns to predictions of how noise levels affect real estate values.  However, one [...]

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: audit results, calls, market predictions, options, puts, S&P 500, trading range

Predicting the S&P 500 Closing Price – January 2013 Edition

Posted By PK    Last updated January 6th, 2013 4 Comments
call-jan-2013

Wow, we haven’t done one of these for a while.  And what are these, you may ask?  A weird little property of options pricing, actually – you can back out predicted prices of a stock on a particular day by simply looking at options prices.  The ‘most likely’ price, at least dictated by the market, [...]

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: calls, investment model, options, puts, S&P 500

Is Social Security a Good Investment?

Posted By PK    Last updated February 16th, 2013 27 Comments
worker_a_private

It may be hard to recall now, but in 2004 a President won his election while promising to reform Social Security to allow private accounts.  George Bush ultimately failed at that goal, but with Social Security again in the limelight during the whole “Fiscal Cliff” overreaction, we wanted to toss some facts out there to [...]

Filed Under: Economics, Featured Tagged With: dividend reinvestment, private accounts, S&P 500, social security

Get Over Your Irrational Fear of Risk

Posted By PK    Last updated August 13th, 2012 18 Comments

“Oh, I don’t invest in stocks. They’re too risky” said a young (urban) professional friend of mine. Five minutes later he was reconsidering that statement, and you’ll be happy to know he’s now the proud owner of some stock (well, at least some stock mutual funds).

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: Investing, Retirement, risk, risk tolerance, S&P 500, stock, young people

How Much Would Your IRA Be Worth if You Invested As Much as Mitt Romney?

Posted By PK    Last updated July 16th, 2012 4 Comments

In a case of great timing, DQYDJ’s article guessing how Mitt Romney has so much money in his IRA is now the third most popular article on the site! While I hold no belief that this situation will continue past November of this year, I think that, in the moment, it’s interesting to ask how a retail investor (read: the rest of us) might have fared had we contributed as much as the Romney family must have during Mitt’s 24 year stint in the public sector (whew). So, how much out-performance did Mr. Romney achieve?

Filed Under: Politics Tagged With: ira, mitt romney, private equity, S&P 500

How Do You Know You’re Ready For Active Investing?

Posted By PK    Last updated May 16th, 2012 17 Comments

If you read my recent article on my returns as an active investor, you’ll note that for years I invested in mutual funds before ever putting a single dollar into an individual stock.

I mean, what gives? At what point did your confidence (ego?) allow you to make the leap from a passive investor to an active investor?

Filed Under: Investing Tagged With: efficient market hypothesis, fantasy portfolios, Investing, S&P 500, stock valuation
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